Wall St futures edge up, dollar steadies, gold touches new record

LONDON: Wall Street futures pointed to a slight recovery in market sentiment on Tuesday, but the dollar was still near a three-year low, after US President Donald Trump’s attack on the Federal Reserve chair sparked a selloff.

Trump stepped up his criticism of Fed Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting interest rates, calling him a “major loser”, in a social media post on Monday, which raised concerns about the president’s influence over the central bank.

Wall Street indexes lost around 2.4 per cent on Monday and the dollar hit its lowest in three years.

US Treasury yields rose as traders worried that the government could try to replace Powell with someone who would cut rates.

The jitters pushed gold prices above $3,500 in early trading on Tuesday, a new all-time high.

Trump said last week he believes Powell will leave his job if Trump asks him to do so, although Powell himself has said he would not.

It is unclear whether Trump has the authority to fire Powell, though lawsuits over unrelated firings by Trump are being watched as possible proxies.

Investor confidence has already been shaken by Trump’s volatile policymaking and back-and-forth announcements about US tariffs, which traders fear could create severe disruption in world trade.

The selloff was less severe during Asian trading on Tuesday. Europe’s STOXX 600 and Germany’s DAX were both down 0.6 per cent at 1209 GMT. The FTSE 100 was flat.

The MSCI World Equity index was down 0.1 per cent.

Wall Street futures pointed to some recovery from Monday’s losses, with S&P 500 e-minis up 0.7 per cent EScv1 and Nasdaq e-minis up 0.8 per cent NQc1.

Still, the S&P 500 was down around 16 per cent from its February peak.

“The market is very jittery so any sense of negativity, any sense of worry, just gets escalated or exaggerated,” said Fiona Cincotta, senior market analyst at City Index.

Wall St ends sharply lower following Trump’s anti-Powell tirade

“There’s a lot of investor anxiety, just generally surrounding the trade war, but then you’re seeing that heightened because of the confrontation between Trump and Powell.”

The US dollar index was around 98.407, steadying after hitting its lowest since March 2022 on Monday. The euro was 0.2 per cent lower at $1.1493.

“The independence of the Federal Reserve is a cornerstone of the dollar’s credibility,” noted Quasar Elizundia, a research strategist at broker Pepperstone.

“The dollar’s status as the ultimate safe-haven asset can no longer be taken for granted; it is being actively challenged.”

US Treasury yields – which have risen in recent weeks – showed signs of steadying on Tuesday, with the 10-year yield at 4.3988 per cent.

The weakness in the dollar, along with demand for safe-havens, helped gold hit a new all-time high of $3,500.05, before easing to around $3,455.08, still up on the day overall XAU.

Traders will be watching earnings reports throughout the week, with 27 per cent of the S&P 500 due to give results.

Tesla is due later on Tuesday, having already shed almost 6 per cent on Monday amid reports of production delays, and Google-owner Alphabet’s earnings are due on Thursday.

Oil prices rose, due to short-covering, but traders remained worried about US tariffs impacting fuel demand.

While White House talks on various trade deals are underway or about to start, a quick resolution seemed unlikely. Analysts at JPMorgan noted the average trade deal took 18 months to negotiate and 45 months to implement.

“We reiterate our view that if current policies do not change, then the probability of a US recession in 2025 is 90 per cent,” they said in a note.

China on Monday warned countries against striking trade deals with the US at China’s expense.